Showing posts with label forecast. Show all posts
Showing posts with label forecast. Show all posts

Friday, January 21, 2011

BRAZIL,AUSTRALIA FLOOD

BRISBANE: Heavy rain prompted new flood warnings in Australia even as thousands of volunteers cleaned up the gooey mess coating homes and streets in its third-largest city Saturday.
Four states had flood warnings due to overflowing rivers and rain, while Queensland worked to recover from its deadly, weekslong disaster. Large parts of the vast state are still under water and some places are still on alert for flooding. In Brisbane, the water that swamped entire neighborhoods has mostly receded, leaving behind a thick, putrid sludge.
About 7,000 residents joined 600 military personnel in what was dubbed ‘Salvation Saturday’ to shovel, mop and sweep away the mess after the Brisbane River overflowed earlier this week.
Mayor Campbell Newman praised the overwhelming turnout. ‘Everybody rolls up their sleeves in this town,’ Newman said. The volunteers were given mops, garbage bags and cleaning supplies before being bused to the areas of Brisbane most in need.


Survivors of mudslides that killed more than 555 people are growing frustrated, saying Brazil’s government has fallen short in rescuing victims still stranded on remote hillsides and finding the bodies of the dead.
On the fourth night since torrential rains sent avalanches of mud and boulders smashing through communities in the lush mountains outside Rio de Janeiro, many people were still begging officials for aid late Friday. Many also took it upon themselves to search for their dead and help out the living.
‘The ones I’ve seen go up there and really make the effort are all people from here,’ said Sergio Joaquin de Jesus, 48, a construction worker who had just donated blood and was rounding up a crew of co-workers to dig for bodies Saturday morning. ‘Imagine, human beings up there, with no food, no water, nowhere to sleep, in this weather. They’re living like dogs,’ he said. ‘Where is the government? What are they still waiting for?’
The military said that it was sending 11 helicopters and 500 personnel to help approximately 800 rescuers from fire departments and the state civil defence agency who were struggling to reach stricken areas in an incessant rain. The army and navy also pledged heavy digging machinery, ambulances and generators - the last essential to continue the rescue effort in the dark. Low-hanging rain clouds prevented the helicopters from flying in, however, and the military promised it would try again Saturday. Survivors did what they could.
After failing to find his other children, the 31-year-old ranch hand built a gurney from scrap wood, carried his son’s body down a mudslide-wrecked slope before dawn Friday and buried him in a homemade coffin. Then Perfista waited with a crowd in the rain outside the Teresopolis morgue for a chance to plead with officials to help him continue his search. He clutched plastic-covered pictures of his three other children: a chubby 1-year-old and two smiling girls, ages 6 and 10.
Survivors of mudslides that killed at least 537 people in a mountainous area north of Rio de Janeiro streamed into the centre of Teresopolis on Friday.
Amauri Souza, a 38-year-old who helped Perfista carry his son’s body, said a few helicopters had reached isolated areas, but ‘they’re only taking down the wounded.’ He said officials were not dropping off body bags or food or water, adding that he feared the consequences if aid did not arrive soon.
‘The water is rotten, but people are forced to drink it. There is no food. I had meat in my house, but it’s all gone bad,’ Souza said. Officials fear the death toll could rise once remote areas are reached. Authorities did not offer an estimate on the missing, but local reports put it in the hundreds.
There is no central repository of information about survivors and missing people, said Carla Monica Tomazetto, a city worker using a microphone to call out the names of those being sought by relatives just outside a shelter for those who lost their homes.
Teresopolis, a city of 163,000 people next to a national park, sits in a land of thickly forested slopes and sheer mountain peaks, and is a chief training site for Brazil’s national soccer team. It’s home to many ornate weekend homes where the wealthy of Rio escape the summer heat to enjoy horseback riding and other luxuries.

FLOOD WARNING AND FORECAST ALERT REPORT PAKISTAN 2010

FLOOD FORECAST (ALERT )FOR   SUTLEJ  RIVER

According to present Hydro-Meteorological situation & rains observed in the upper catchment areas of River Sutlej, Ganda Singh Wala (Kasur District) may attain a LOW FLOOD level during the period from 1200 PST of  26th  September-2010 to 1800 PST of 27th September-2010  ranging between 50,000 to 60,000 cusecs (Approximately Gauge 18 – 19 feet ).
This may create inundation in low lying areas of river Sutlej. The inhabitants in the river bed around the districts of Kasur, Okara and Pakpattan may affect. It is requested that concerned authorities may take precautionary measures to warn the people residing in the river bed.
SIGNIFICANT FLOOD FORECAST FOR RIVER INDUS AT KOTRI

According to prevailing hydrological conditions the 2nd Flood wave is passing from Kotri and River is maintaining Exceptionally High Flood level with inflow of 964897 Cusecs. It may further rise during next 36-hours. The sustained peak at Kotri may last for next 2 to 3 days. Thereafter it may start falling and is likely to remain between 7,00,000 to 9,00,000 Cusecs during subsequent 7 to 9 days and around 6,00,000 Cusecs for  subsequent one week.
Under this scenario, the inundation and riverine Flooding is expected at low lying areas of Sajawal, MirpurBataro, MirpurSakro, JhangShahi, AllahRakhio, ShadadKot , Jamshoro, Matiari, Makaro, Ketibander, Shahbander in  Thatta and Hyderabad  Districts  along with the river bed.
All concerned authorities are requested to take precautionary measures to avoid loss of human lives and property. 

Flood Alert for Sutlej  Ravi and Chenab Rivers
       
Sutlej River
 According to Indus Water Treaty, India shall inform Pakistan when the release of water from Ferozepur down stream increases to 50,000 Cusecs or more. India has not yet informed Pakistan regarding the release of such quantity of water from Ferozepur. The slight rise in water at Ganda Singh Wala is only due to rains in the lower catchments of Sutlej below Bhakra dam. As such the water in Sutlej is likely to remain around 50,000 Cusecs in next 2-days.

                                                                            

River Ravi
 The rains in the area below Madhopur headworks and in the Catchment of Nullahs of River Ravi (Deg, Bein, Kethar, Ujh, Basanter) have caused a slight increase in the inflow at Jassar and Shahdara. However, the situation is not dangerous. According to Indus Treaty, India shall inform Pakistan when they release the water from Madhopur headworks more than 30,000 Cusecs and they have not yet informed. Therefore it is presumed that the flow in River Ravi shall remain below low flood level i.e. 40,000 Cusecs.



River Chenab
 The prevailing metrological conditions suggest that the chances of heavy rains in the Catchments of river Chenab are minimum during next 2-days. Therefore there is no imminent danger of any flood in river Chenab. However some rain may cause slightly increased flow in river Chenab, which may not be taken as dangerous situation. The flow shall remain at low flood level (around 1,00,000 Cusecs)

According to prevailing hydrological conditions the Flood wave is passing from Kotri and River has attained Exceptionally High Flood level at Kotri with inflow 8,37,982 Cusecs at 1200 PST. It will continue rising and is likely to attain Flood level ranging between 8,50,000 to 9,00,000 Cusecs during next 24-hours. The River Indus at Kotri shall maintain and sustain peak, which is expected to last 4 to 5 days.
Inflow between 7,00,000 to 8,00,000 Cusecs would last for subsequent 5 to 8 days and around 6,00,000 Cusecs for another subsequent 10 days at least.
Under this scenario, the inundation and riverine Flooding is expected at low lying areas of Sajawal , MirpurBataro, MirpurSakro, JhangShahi ,AllahRakhio, ShadadKot , Jamshoro, Matiari, Makaro, Ketibander, Shahbander in  Thatta and Hyderabad  Districts  along with the river bed.
All concerned authorities are requested to take precautionary measures to avoid loss of human lives and property. 
FLOOD WARNING AND FORECAST ALERT REPORT PAKISTAN 2010
 




                                                                              


Friday, December 31, 2010

flood history 2010 pakistan

Monsoon rains were forecasted to continue into early August and were described as the worst in this area in the last 80 years.[22] The Pakistan Meteorological Department reported that over 200 mm (7.88 inches) of rain fell over a 24-hour period in a number of places in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Punjab and more should be expected.[23] A record-breaking 274 mm (10.7 inches) of rain fell in Peshawar during 24 hours,[24] previously 187 mm (7.36 inches) of rain was recorded in April 2009.[25] So far 500,000 or more people have been displaced from their homes.[22] On 30 July, Manuel Bessler, head of the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, stated that 36 districts were involved, and 950,000 people were affected,[26] although within a day, reports increased that number to as high as a million,[27] and by mid-August to nearly 20 million affected.[28] By mid-August, according to the governmental Federal Flood Commission (FFC), the floods had caused the deaths of at least 1,540 people, while 2,088 people had received injuries, 557,226 houses had been destroyed, and over 6 million people had been displaced.[21] One month later, the data had been updated to reveal 1,781 deaths, 2,966 people with injuries, and more than 1.89 million homes destroyed.[2]
The Khyber Pakhtunkhwa provincial minister of information, Mian Iftikhar Hussain, said "the infrastructure of this province was already destroyed by terrorism. Whatever was left was finished off by these floods."[29] He also called the floods "the worst calamity in our history."[30] Four million Pakistanis were left with food shortages.[31]
The Karakoram Highway, which connects Pakistan with China, was closed after a bridge was destroyed.[32] The ongoing devastating floods in Pakistan will have a severe impact on an already vulnerable population, says the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC). In addition to all the other damages the floods have caused, floodwater have destroyed much of the health care infrastructure in the worst-affected areas, leaving inhabitants especially vulnerable to water-borne disease.[33] In Sindh, the Indus River burst its banks near Sukkur on 8 August, submerging the village of Mor Khan Jatoi.[31] There is also an absence of law and order, mainly in Sindh. Looters have been taking advantage of the floods by ransacking abandoned homes using boats.[34]


Affected areas as of August 26, 2010In early August, the heaviest flooding moved southward along the Indus River from severely-affected northern regions toward western Punjab, where at least 1,400,000 acres (570,000 ha) of cropland were destroyed,[31] and the southern province of Sindh.[35] The affected crops included cotton, sugarcane, rice, pulses, tobacco and animal fodder. Floodwaters and rain destroyed 700,000 acres (3,000 km2) of cotton, 200,000 acres (800 km2) acres each of rice and cane, 500,000 tonnes of wheat and 300,000 acres (1,000 km2) of animal fodder.[36][37] According to the Pakistan Cotton Ginners Association, the floods destroyed 2 million bales of cotton, which led to an increase in futures of the commodity in international market.[38][39] 170,000 citizens (or 70% of the population) of the historic Sindh town of Thatta fled advancing flood waters on 27 August 2010.[40]






By mid-September the floods generally had began to recede, although in some areas, such as Sindh, new floods were reported; the majority of the displaced persons had not been able to return home.[2]